000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161132
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad trough of low pressure located about 500 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula, is producing a large but disorganized area of showers
and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is possible
through the middle of next week while it moves generally westward
or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila