000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160534
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad trough of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is
possible through the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven