000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131732
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Karina, located several hundred miles
south of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico.

A broad low pressure system, located about 1200 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii, is moving westward at around 10 mph
and should move into the central Pacific basin by Thursday. Although
shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little during the past
several hours, environmental conditions are expected to gradually
become more conducive for development over the next several days,
especially after the system enters the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center's area of responsibility.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Karina are issued under WMO
header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Karina are issued under WMO
header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart