000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains disorganized. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system during the next several days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers are associated with an area of low pressure located about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible during the next several days before environmental conditions become less conducive this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well southwest of the southern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven