000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221733 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near a small area of low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake