000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160501
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1250 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii
remain disorganized.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for some gradual development of this system during the
next couple of days.  After that time upper-level winds are expected
to become unfavorable for development.  The low is forecast to move
toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph and move into the
central Pacific Basin by late Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown