000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151110
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii
has changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some
development, and this system could still become a tropical
depression during the next couple of days.  After that time,
upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for
development.  This low is expected to move toward the west or
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph and move into the central Pacific
Basin late on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila