000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150501
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON JUL 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii
have become better organized over the past several hours.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for further
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
during the next couple of days.  After that time, upper-level winds
are forecast to become less favorable for development.   This low is
expected to move toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph
and move into the central Pacific Basin late on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake