000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301136
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUN 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Douglas, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula of Mexico.

Thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure
located about 180 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico,
continues to show signs of organization.  Latest satellite data,
plus coastal surface observations and ship reports, indicate that
the low is producing tropical-storm-force winds. However, the system
still lacks a well-defined circulation center.  Upper-level winds
are not particularly conducive for additional development, but only
a slight increase in organization could result in the formation of a
tropical storm during the next day or so while the system moves
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
Additional information on this system can be found in high seas
forecasts issued by the national weather service...under
awips header nfdhsfepi and wmo header fzpn01 kwbc.

$$
Forecaster Stewart