000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300608
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 29 2014

Corrected to add information about tropical storm force winds.

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Douglas, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
of Mexico.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 240 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico,
continue to show signs of organization.  Although satellite data
indicate that this system is producing winds to tropical storm
force, it lacks a closed circulation at this time.  Upper-level
winds are not particularly conducive for additional development, but
only a slight increase in organization could result in the formation
of a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while the system
moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch