000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071336
TWOEP 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
640 AM PDT WED MAY 7 2014

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY...SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT IT STILL LACKS A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT TODAY...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE BY THURSDAY WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY.

ANOTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 8 PM PDT
TODAY...OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN