000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111736
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 11 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. THE LOW IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM IN COMBINATION WITH ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...WILL BRING
HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. 

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA