000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040915
TWOEP 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 AM PST SUN NOV 4 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ROSA...LOCATED ABOUT 1045 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN
LUCAS MEXICO.

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 330
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...AND SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
TODAY BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
BY MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY AND NORTHWARD BY MONDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART