000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040532
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT NOV 3 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ROSA...LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN
LUCAS MEXICO.

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 380
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS DISTURBANCE IS
INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTEND NORTHEASTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART