000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300849
TWOEP 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
150 AM PDT TUE OCT 30 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS
MEXICO.

UPDATED...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED NEAR A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING.  IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES
COULD BE INITIATED LATER THIS MORNING.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO HAVE DECREASED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A DAY OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG