000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291140
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 29 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 700 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED DURING THE
LAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE WITHIN A
DAY OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN