000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT MON OCT 22 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI