000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061203
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT OCT 6 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA 
CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH A SURFACE 
CIRCULATION HAS NOT DEVELOPED YET...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM 
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA