000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121133 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT WED SEP 12 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND THERE IS A HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA