000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312333
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM ILEANA...LOCATED ABOUT 395 MILES WEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA.
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI