000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310533
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
ILEANA...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO.

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG