000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT THU AUG 30 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ILEANA...LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM CENTRAL AMERICA WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE