000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221749 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT WED AUG 22 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY