000
ABPZ20 KNHC 102345
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GILMA...LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ERNESTO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE DISTURBANCE
MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE