000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100536 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT THU AUG 9 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GILMA...LOCATED ABOUT 695 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO THAT HAS MOVED INLAND OVER MEXICO. THE MID-LEVEL REMNANT CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN