000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091758
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 9 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GILMA...LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE
MORNING.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF MEXICO COULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OFF THE WEST-CENTRAL
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG