000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 5 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN