000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051741 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 5 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED NEAR A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE