000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281147 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SAT JUL 28 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN