000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SUN JUL 22 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE... 60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART