000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220540
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE