000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181131 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT WED JUL 18 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO...LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA BAJA MEXICO. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI