000
ABPZ20 KNHC 120532
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 11 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EMILIA...LOCATED ABOUT 810 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA. 

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND IF THIS
DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...
NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART