000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021738 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT MON JUL 2 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE NEAR THE CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART