000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200530 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT TUE JUN 19 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES LITTLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH