000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT TUE JUN 19 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA