000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191746
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUN 19 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE STILL SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.  
ALTHOUGH NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ARE LIKELY TO
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH