000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171153
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE
REMNANTS OF CARLOTTA.  DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS NOT EXPECTED 
AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  HOWEVER...HEAVY
RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A FEW DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT
ABOUT 5 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN