000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182332
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST FRI NOV 18 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT
475 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR THE LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN