000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171735 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM PST THU NOV 17 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH DRY AIR AND COOLER WATERS WILL AFFECT THE LOW DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI