000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131140
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IRWIN...LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO.  

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO EASTWARD
INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WHILE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA
AS THIS SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN