000
ABPZ20 KNHC 102337
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
JOVA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND
ON TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW CENTER DUE TO
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THESE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...GUATEMALA...EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND
NICARAGUA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI