000
ABPZ20 KNHC 092344
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 9 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
JOVA...LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...LOCATED ABOUT 810 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
HAVE NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES EASTWARD
OR NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
GUATEMALA...EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND NICARAGUA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI