000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071130
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI OCT 7 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM JOVA...LOCATED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO...AND ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE IRWIN...LOCATED ABOUT
910 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT
CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND IT HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH