000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271147 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HILARY...LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN