000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202332
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN