000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182338 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SUN SEP 18 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH