000
ABPZ20 KNHC 162342
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI SEP 16 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A SMALL BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 
150 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY 
HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
DISTURBANCE...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS THE LOW INTERACTS WITH ANOTHER LARGER WEATHER SYSTEM TO 
ITS SOUTHWEST.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF 
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT 
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART