000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152338
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU SEP 15 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN