000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT WED SEP 14 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN